Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Market Positions Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-340 pips
Open
AUD/USD
Sell
0.7673
-26 pips

Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed

Monday, October 30, 2006

Current Market Positions Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-324 pips
Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed


Daily Commentary for USD


FX Chicago
http://www.fxchi.com

Ready For A Big Move

Tue, 31 Oct 2006 03:37:46 GMT
by Richard Regan

The USD is setting up for a substantial move.  After days of continued downtrend, we see a tight range consolidation.  This is almost always the sign of high volatility to come.  The obvious play is to get on board in whichever direction it breaksout/down from todays range.  But don't get fooled by a quick move that appears to be the start of the trend.  Be patient and make sure an abundance of buyers or sellers have entered the market, then just look to get good prices and ride the trend.  News came out today on the personal spending accompanied by comments from Fed Governer Lacker indicating a strong US economy.  As my traders pointed out to me today, after a big down move, if good news comes out, and the USD does not rally, shouldn't we look for a big short on any negative US news?  The answer is yes, but there is no need to develop a bias right now.  Just make sure you recognize it relatively early and stay in the direction of the move.

USD

CONSOLIDATION RANGES:

EUR/USD:  1.2705-1.2740

USD/JPY:  117.20-117.70

The GBP/USD already made a nice upmove today, while other currencies remained flat against the USD.  I would steer clear of this pair until we see some more developments.  Nice resistance just before and around 1.9100.

Still plenty of economic releases and speeches this week.  I still believe that the probability of big moves is high this week.  My currency pair of choice to watch this week USD/JPY.  Good luck.

Market Position Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-340 pips
Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed

Market Positions Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-340 pips
Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed

Forex Technical Analysis

Forex Technical Analysis

KBC Bank
http://www.kbc.be/dealingroom

EUR/USD:(1.2720) Above channel top off 1.2939 and ST double bottom

Mon, 30 Oct 2006 14:20:30 GMT
by KBC Market Research Desk

Daily Chart

Above channel top off 1.2629 and ST Double Bottom off 1.2642 (see graph: potential at 1.2762/ 1.2800).

 
1st Support area at 1.2714/ .02 (daily envelope/ ST break-up daily), with next levels at 1.2691 (ST break-up hourly), ahead of 1.2661/ .42 (Friday's low/ see graph + break-up weekly) and 1.2621/ .18(ST break-up hourly/ weekly envelope): ideal area to stay above to keep current better mood on € intact.

 Inability to hold would see next level at 1.2597 (daily MT MA↑): difficult on 1st tests. Resistance area at 1.2732/ 1.2750 (today's high? + reinstalled daily Downtrendline off high/ last week high), with next levels at 1.2762/ .67 (see above/ Oct 03 high + daily Bollinger top). 1.2783/ .2800 = daily Starc top/ 2nd target off 1.2642/ Oct 03 high, where a pause is expected.  


SUPPORTRESISTANCE
1.2714/ .02 (daily envelope/ see above)1.2732/ .50 (today's high?/ last week high)
1.2691 (see above)1.2762/ .67 (see above / Oct 03 high + daily projection
1.2661/ .42 (see above + daily ST MA↑/ see1.2783/ .2800 (daily Strarc top/ see above + weekly

For in-depth insight on other currency pairs:

  • USD/YEN: (117.43) Below channel off 113.96 and the double top off 118.03
  • EUR/GBP: (.6703) Channel bottom off .6822 held
  • EUR/JPY : (149.33) Back in triangle pattern

Current Market Positions Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-340 pips
Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed

Current Market Positions Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-340 pips
Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed


Sunday, October 29, 2006

Current Market Positions Update


Currency:
Position
Entry
Pro/Loss
Trgt/Exit
Status
GBP/USDSell 1.8675-300 pips
Open
GBP/JPYSell 223.59 +109 pips 222.50Closed
EUR/JPY Sell150.09 +79 pips 149.30Closed


Current Market Positions Update


Currency:
GBP/USD
Entry Level: 1.8675
Position: Sell
Prof-Loss: -300 pips
Target: -
Exit:
-
Status
Open

Currency:
GBP/JPY
Entry Level: 223.59
Position: Sell
Prof-Loss: +109 pips
Target:
Exit:
222.50
Status
Closed

Currency:
EUR/JPY
Entry Level: 150.09
Position: Sell
Prof-Loss: +79 pips
Target: -
Exit:
149.30
Status
Closed

Current Market Positions Update

Currency:
GBP/USD
Entry Level: 1.8675
Position: Sell
Prof-Loss: -100 pips
Target: -
Exit:
-
Status
Open

Currency:
GBP/JPY
Entry Level: 223.59
Position: Sell
Prof-Loss: +109 pips
Target:
Exit:
222.50
Status
Closed

Currency:
EUR/JPY
Entry Level: 150.09
Position: Sell
Prof-Loss: +79 pips
Target: -
Exit:
149.30
Status
Closed